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The idea of Comcast acquiring ITV has prompted concerns about the consequences on British public service broadcasting, a reality that Channel 4’s new chief executive, moving from a key role at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be tasked to spearhead efforts to block her former employer’s buyout proposal to safeguard Channel 4.

The proposed merger of Sky and ITV’s terrestrial and streaming assets would leave Channel 4 a significantly weaker competitor in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reigniting discussion of the need to re-examine some form of alliance with the BBC for long-term survival.

Immediate Alarm: The Future of News

However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news output that are causing the most immediate alarm for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to decisively move to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s advance for ITV is causing trepidation among media watchers, with specific worry for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn purchase of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of autonomy, is full of regulatory, political, and competition problems.

At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the largest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an interesting one that will become a priority politically,” says one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that assurance draws closer to concluding, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.

It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include pledges not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to alter the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.

“There are definitely questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to gain influence... I would hope Comcast realise ways of solving these problems.”

A System Under Threat

British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being snapped up by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had overtaken ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

Strategic Imperatives

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK requires and deserves its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that requires them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming powerhouse, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

The CMA's Role

Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will broaden the definition of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get cleared,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Structural Challenges of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a structural funding problem,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly outperformed forecasts, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to face a crunch point.”

The evolving situation highlights a larger question for British media: how to preserve a domestic voice and a healthy public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.